
Special Update: 2009 Outlook
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Introduction
Although
the stock market has recently begun to stabilize, and many analysts now expect
the overall U.S. economy to begin picking up in the second half of this year,
the fallout from declining stock, credit, housing and labor markets in 2008 and
early 2009 is likely to be felt by the philanthropic sector throughout 2009 and
into the future.
To assess
how grantmakers in Minnesota have been affected by the downturn and how they
anticipate responding to community needs, the Minnesota Council on Foundations
(MCF), in partnership with the national Council on Foundations (COF),
administered a survey in March 2009 on the outlook for grantmaking this year.
COF wrote the survey, collected the national data,1
and provided Minnesota-specific data to MCF for additional analysis. Although
the survey instrument and respondents differed from those in MCF’s 2009 Outlook
Report conducted in November 2008,2
the current report is meant to provide additional, complementary insights. Where
possible, MCFmade comparisons between similar questions.
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Key Findings
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In March 2009, 52% of
Minnesota grantmakers said they expect to decrease grantmaking in 2009, more
than the 40% who anticipated decreases in November 2008.
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Nearly half of Minnesota
grantmakers expect giving will remain the same (31%) or increase (17%) in
2009 compared to 2008. In November, 41% expected grantmaking to remain the
same in 2009, while 15% expected increases.
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Minnesota grantmakers are
faring better than the nation as a whole: 62% nationwide say they will
reduce grantmaking in 2009.
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Asset declines among
Minnesota grantmakers in 2008 were not as steep as those experienced
nationwide.
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Most Minnesota grantmakers
do not anticipate significantly limiting relationships with new grantseekers
in 2009.
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More grantmakers in
Minnesota than nationwide report that assisting those adversely affected by
the economic downturn is a new priority for 2009.
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In relation to the economic
downturn, grantmakers say they are most likely to provide support for food,
housing and jobs.
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Minnesota grantmakers
report the most likely ways they will cut operating costs is by reducing
travel and conference attendance, eliminating salary increases, and reducing
or eliminating the use of consultants.
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About This Survey
This June
2009 report summarizes responses from 59 Minnesota grantmakers, including 24
private foundations, 21 corporate foundations and giving programs, and 14
community or public foundations. Proportionally, the representation of
grantmakers by type in this report is the same as in MCF’s 2009 Outlook Report.
The respondents to the current (March) survey represent 45% of all grant dollars
paid in 2007 (the latest year for which complete data are available).3
Eighty-five percent of Minnesota survey participants reported having assets or
an endowment; of those, 68% say their assets were in the range of $1 million to
$49.9 million at the close of 2008. Just over 70% of respondents made grants
totaling between $100,000 - $4.9 million during 2008.
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More Grantmakers Anticipate Drops in Giving
As a
result of reduced assets, just over half (52%) of Minnesota survey respondents
in March expect to decrease their grantmaking in 2009 (see Figure A), with 22%
of respondents expecting decreases of 20% or more (see Figure B). By comparison,
only 40% of respondents to the November Outlook survey anticipated decreases in
grantmaking in 2009 (see
MCF’s 2009 Outlook Report.)


On the
other side of the coin, the March survey reveals just under half of Minnesota
respondents expect grantmaking to stay the same (31%) or increase (17%). In
November, 41% expected grantmaking to remain the same in 2009, while 15%
expected increases.
A
comparison of the 49 survey respondents who participated in both the March 2009
and November 2008 surveys reveals a similar declining outlook (see Figure C). In
March, 48% expected decreases to grantmaking, 11 percentage points more than in
November. Thirty-three percent expected grantmaking to remain the same in March,
a decline of 10 percentage points compared to November.

Despite
these findings, Minnesota appears to be faring somewhat better than the nation
as a whole: 62% of foundations nationwide say they will reduce grantmaking in
2009, according to COF’s analysis of the national data.
Corporate
grantmakers in Minnesota are particularly optimistic about their grantmaking in
2009: 50% expect giving to remain at the same level and 20% expect to increase
giving (see Figure D). Community and public foundations are evenly split: half
expect decreases, while the other half expect giving to either hold steady at
2008 levels
(29%) or increase (21%). Not unexpectedly, given that they have experienced the
greatest asset declines, private grantmakers in the state of Minnesota are least
optimistic about their grantmaking in 2009: 71% expect decreases this year.
These trends are similar to those reported in MCF’s 2009 Outlook Report.

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Asset Declines in Minnesota Less Steep Than Across the Nation
One of the
primary reasons grantmaking will be lower in 2009 is the declining value of
foundation assets (see Figure E). Of the 47 respondents who have endowments, 87%
say their assets were lower in 2008, with a majority (74%) saying they were
lower by 20% or more compared to 2007. Although these declines are significant,
the data again suggest that Minnesota is faring better than the nation as a
whole. The national data, as reported by COF, show that 73% of national
respondents experienced asset declines of 25% or more in 2008. Further, in
comparison to the stock market, which declined by about 38% in 2008, only a
handful of Minnesota survey respondents (13%) reported asset declines of 35%,
and none reported declines of 40% or more.

Although
grantmakers in Minnesota appear to be doing slightly better than the nation,
private foundations in the state are experiencing significantly steeper asset
declines than other types of grantmakers. Sixty-three percent of Minnesota’s
private foundations say their assets were lower by 30% or more in 2008, compared
to less than half of either corporate or community and public grantmakers in the
state. These asset declines among Minnesota’s private foundations are in line
with those experienced nationally by family and independent foundations,
according to the COF report.
The
decline in assets continued into the early part of 2009. Of those with assets
and sufficient information to judge how their assets had changed in early 2009,
about two-thirds reported their endowments had decreased at least another 10% in
the first two months of the year. This compares to the 52% of Minnesota
grantmakers who expected further asset declines in 2009 when they were surveyed
in November 2008 for MCF’s 2009 Outlook Report.
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Outlook for New Grantseekers Better Than Expected
To manage
reduced giving in 2009, grantmakers say they are likely to avoid multi-year
obligations and give smaller amounts to grantees. Only a handful of grantmakers
who expect to distribute less anticipate significantly limiting relationships
with new grantseekers: 5 respondents out of 59 say they will not accept new
grant applications and 6 respondents out of 59 anticipate not designating any
new grantees.
In
addition, many grantmakers say they will use their knowledge assets to assist
nonprofits, by providing technical assistance, training and assessment services,
and supporting capacity building. Finally, a handful of respondents say they
will suspend grants for capital campaigns.
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Philanthropy Responds to Those in Need
The
majority of Minnesota survey respondents (81%) report their grantmaking will
assist those adversely affected by the economic downturn, by providing aid to
families, supporting human services, assisting lower income populations, or
supporting economic development.
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11% say this is a new focus for 2009.
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25% say responding to the downturn is not a new focus
but they will be increasing grantmaking in this area.
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45% say this is not a new focus and they will maintain
grantmaking in this area.
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The remainder will either decrease support in areas
related to the economic downturn (15%) or do not make any grants in this
area (4%).
Nationally, only 6% say responding to the economic downturn is a new focus in
2009.
Survey
respondents also report that they may collaborate with other funders, convene
meetings of funders and nonprofits, and assist nonprofits to better coordinate
their assistance.
Eighty-six
percent of respondents report they currently provide some funds for general
operating support, in line with national trends, as reported by COF. Of the
Minnesota grantmakers who provide operating support, 10% say this is a new
strategy for 2009. Sixty-nine percent say it is not a new funding strategy, and
they will either increase or maintain support.
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Focus on Back-to-Basics: Food, Housing, Jobs
The
specific services related to the downturn that Minnesota grantmakers say they
are most likely to support are: basic skills education and job readiness skills
(51%); food assistance (47%); and emergency housing assistance (41%). These
priorities mirror national trends.
The
services least likely to receive support include: financial assistance with
mortgage payments (7%); assistance with heating or utilities bills (15%); and
program-related investments (15%). Nationally, the areas least likely to be
supported include financial assistance with mortgage payments; credit
counseling; and homeownership or foreclosure-avoidance education.
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Grantmakers Cut Costs
In
addition to adjusting the type and level of grants, foundations and giving
programs are addressing their own operational and administrative expenses. Three
out of four survey respondents report they have taken actions to control
operating costs in 2009 and just over half say they have cut their operating
budgets in 2009. Community and public foundations in Minnesota are particularly
likely to say they have cut their operating budgets this year.
To limit
expenses, grantmakers are reducing travel budgets and attendance at conferences;
eliminating or reducing staff professional development budgets; eliminating
salary increases for staff; and reducing or eliminating the use of consultants.
The
Minnesota survey respondents do not appear to be experiencing significant job
losses or changes to the quality of work life. While a handful report they have
eliminated positions or laid off staff, the majority say they are not
undertaking these actions. The least likely actions survey participants report
taking to reduce staff expenses are asking employees to increase their
contributions to benefit plans; reducing salaries; laying off or furloughing
staff; and instituting a hiring freeze. This data mirrors national trends, as
reported by COF.
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1 A complete copy of the report by COF, “Foundations Respond to the
Needs of Families Even as Their Assets Have Declined,” can be downloaded at
www.cof.org/economicdownturn.
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2 A complete copy of MCF’s 2009
Outlook Report can be downloaded at
www.mcf.org/outlook.
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3107
grantmaking organizations responded to the November, 2008, survey, representing
70% of all grant dollars paid in Minnesota in 2006.
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